Sustainable low-carbon futures Transition scenario







europe, along rest of world, facing challenge of climate change , impacts on environment, economy , society. in order address these concerns , adopt proactive approach in finding solutions, european commission launched europe 2020 strategy in 2010 followed roadmap 2050. 2020 strategy puts forward vision of europe has increased employment, invests in research , development, ensures more young people finish school , obtain university degrees, has fewer people threatened poverty, has reduced greenhouse gas level of 20% compared 1990 level, has increased contribution of renewable energy reach 20% of total energy consumption , has increased efficiency 20%. 2050 roadmap sets forward possibilities reaching more stringent 80% reduction target of greenhouse gases in 2050 considering various scenarios , setting milestones 40% reduction 2030 , 60% 2040.


it clear strategy , roadmap europe needs transition future quite different 1 follows business usual trajectory. need formed basis eu seventh framework programme (fp7) under call foresight enhance behavioural , societal changes enabling transition towards sustainable paths in europe created. 3 projects focusing on transition scenarios , management selected provide range in application , context. these projects follows:



crisp (creating innovative sustainability pathways) aims identify sustainable low carbon futures , pathways. intent allow project recommend new policy mixes , innovative cooperation mechanisms support , promote transitions. in order achieve these objectives, employs transition scenarios , participatory approaches ensure people of ages , backgrounds actively involved in discourse on sustainable development.
incontext (individuals in context: supportive environments sustainable living) studies both internal , external contexts in change occurs. through use of multi-disciplinary approaches insights role played social norms, policies , infrastructure (external context) , needs, values , priorities (internal context) can gauged within agency-structure debate. project’s main output inform policies can support internal changes required sustainable action.
locaw (low carbon @ work: modelling agents , organisations achieve transition low carbon europe) aims gain insight drivers , barriers of sustainability practices within work place across different organizations within eu. multi-disciplinary approach used create desirable low-carbon futures, map alternative pathways , gain insight how cooperative interaction needs supported encourage sustainable development. latter point predominantly investigated through use of agent based modelling.






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